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U.S. Q1 GDP Growth Slows to 1.6%, But Consumer Spending Shows Resilience

Mondays bring the market analysis.  

The first quarter GDP growth rate suggests a slowing economy, but there are positive indicators for the economic outlook.  Quoting Axios, The first quarter’s 1.6% annualized growth rate confirms that the economy is not reaccelerating to start 2024.   Indicators of the underlying trend in U.S. economic activity were steady in the new report despite the downshift in overall GDP growth.

Final domestic private sector sales came in at a 3.1% annualized rate in the January to March period, slowing only slightly from 3.3% in the previous period.

That is the result of solid consumer spending which increased at a 2.5% annualized rate last quarter—down from 3.3% in the fourth quarter of 2023.

Despite high borrowing costs and lingering inflation, American consumer spending remains resilient. Personal consumption expenditures rose by 0.8% in March, marking the most substantial increase in over a year. However, this surge in spending outpaced the growth in disposable personal income, leading to a decrease in the personal saving rate to 3.2%, the lowest since 2022.

A market forecast report published by Meticulous Research predicts that the global managed cloud services market will grow 14.2 percent annually, reaching $247.5 billion in revenue by 2030. The increase is driven by easier cloud adoption, increased demand from sectors like banking and healthcare, and the opportunity to integrate cloud and on-premises environments. However, security and compliance concerns remain a challenge. MSPs have an opportunity to provide managed platform engineering services as organizations increasingly rely on software and allocate resources to writing code.

The Russell 2000 and S&P 600 indices were up last week and year to date.

Why do we care?

How about we all take our win that the economy seems steady and solid so far.    I want to have some pithy take – and don’t.   And in this case, it seems like a good thing.  Solid, boring, consistent numbers are not a bad thing.